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GATX

GATXD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The raised EPS range, 98.0% North American utilization, positive renewals and acquisition benefits support earnings durability if lease economics and engine demand hold. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Asset-disposition gains may not recur at the first-half pace. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
48
Value
48
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $200.00 · Bear $135.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $219.50
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -5.9
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Asset-disposition gains may not recur at the first-half pace. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Higher interest, depreciation and maintenance expenses could dilute benefits from the expanded fleet. GATX quarterly results
  • • Renewal-price growth has slowed, asset-sale gains may be lumpy, and higher interest, depreciation and maintenance costs can offset fleet growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Second-half rail leasing results test renewal pricing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
-18.9
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 48.3 / Value 48.0 / Sentiment 52.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.88B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
35.3M
P/E (TTM)
20.1
P/S (TTM)
3.61
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.25
Rev YoY
+34.8%
EPS YoY
+37.2%
Gross Margin
+46.5%
Op Margin
+29.1%
Net Debt
$7.7B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data