B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$40.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FWONA
Liberty Media Formula One Series AFNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained F1 viewership, successful rights renewals, rising sponsorship ARPU and operating leverage drive multiple expansion toward the bull target over 12–24 months.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Event cancellations or geopolitical disruption
Momentum
56
Value
50
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $32.45 · Bull $40.56 · Bear $24.36Analysis 2025-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $114.93
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d +6.1
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Event cancellations or geopolitical disruption
- • Global advertising demand weakness
- • Ad/sponsorship deterioration, adverse rights re-pricing or event disruptions compress revenue and margins; leverage and limited float amplify downside toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Advertising / consumer slowdown
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
-8.9
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 56.1 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$32.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.34B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
250.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
45.5
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
33.12
Rev YoY
-30.4%
EPS YoY
-97.6%
Gross Margin
+24.9%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$4.07B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data