B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FVRR
Fiverr InternationalBNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiverr remains profitable and cash-generative, with rising spend per buyer and growth in larger, AI-related projects offering a possible path to stabilization and eventual rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year, creating a risk that profitability improvements will not offset revenue contraction.
Momentum
9
Value
73
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.50 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $6.75Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.75
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d +0.3
Value73 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +6.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year, creating a risk that profitability improvements will not offset revenue contraction.
- • Analyst-revision data and direct operating-peer coverage are limited.
- • AI substitution is compressing lower-value freelance demand, while marketplace revenue, traffic and active buyers are falling and management has lowered near-term and full-year revenue expectations.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Q2 earnings reset and lower outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
9
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+2.4
Value
73
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.5
Δ21d
-3.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 8.6 / Value 73.3 / Sentiment 66.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$6.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$314.21M
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
35.95M
P/E (TTM)
32.6
P/S (TTM)
1.70
P/FCF (TTM)
6.62
Rev YoY
-10.0%
EPS YoY
+41.3%
Gross Margin
+81.2%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
-$282.17M
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data