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FUTU

FutuC
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 2026 revenue rose 35.6% year over year to US$918.2 million and net income rose 41.6%; funded-account and trading growth could sustain earnings if international monetization continues. [#PR-2026-08-20] Company earnings release filed with the SEC.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Lower blended commission rates and higher processing costs could pressure margins despite volume growth. [#PR-2026-08-20] Company earnings release.
Momentum
48
Value
57
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $97.00 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $155.58
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -22.5
Value57 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -27.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Lower blended commission rates and higher processing costs could pressure margins despite volume growth. [#PR-2026-08-20] Company earnings release.
  • • Q2 client-asset growth relied mainly on higher market values, making it sensitive to market reversals. [#PR-2026-08-20] Company earnings release.
  • • The mainland regulatory proposal creates unresolved downside, while Q2 blended commission rates declined and gross margin fell to 86.3% from 87.4%.

Catalyst clock

2027-03-31

Mainland China regulatory determination

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.5
Δ21d
-11.8
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-27.6
Δ21d
-41.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 47.8 / Value 56.9 / Sentiment 52.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$97.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.91B
Beta
0.42
Shares Out
95.75M
P/E (TTM)
20.2
P/S (TTM)
6.41
P/FCF (TTM)
4.33
Rev YoY
+35.0%
EPS YoY
+43.5%
Gross Margin
+94.5%
Op Margin
+69.1%
Net Debt
$41.5M
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data