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FTCI

FTC SolarB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Project wins and the reaffirmed 2026 growth outlook could support a substantial recovery if deliveries scale and gross margin turns positive [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Persistent negative gross margin and operating losses despite revenue growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Momentum
92
Value
34
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.80 · Bull $2.70 · Bear $0.80Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.20
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Persistent negative gross margin and operating losses despite revenue growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
  • • Project-award and backlog conversion depend on customer schedules and execution [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
  • • Q2 still produced an 8.5% GAAP gross loss and a $27.1 million GAAP net loss.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Test of second-half revenue ramp

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
73
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 91.9 / Value 34.1 / Sentiment 73.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$27.04M
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
18.27M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.3
P/S (TTM)
2.33
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.89
Rev YoY
+30.8%
EPS YoY
+43.5%
Gross Margin
+4.5%
Op Margin
-36.3%
Net Debt
$2.45M
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data