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FSM

Fortuna MiningC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained metal-price strength plus above-plan execution or reserve upgrades would re-rate the stock above the anchor and validate upside targets near analyst highs.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Execution/production shortfalls
Momentum
97
Value
73
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $10.55 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $6.50Analysis 2026-01-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $13.49
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d +0.1
Value73 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution/production shortfalls
  • • Permitting or regulatory setbacks
  • • Prolonged metal weakness, cost inflation, permitting delays or production misses could compress valuation materially toward the lower analyst range.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-13

Q4/2025 results & 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+6.7
Value
73
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-6.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 97.5 / Value 72.8 / Sentiment 50.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$10.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.18B
Beta
1.64
Shares Out
295.96M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
2.85
P/FCF (TTM)
13.46
Rev YoY
+39.1%
EPS YoY
+64.6%
Gross Margin
+56.8%
Op Margin
+48.6%
Net Debt
-$349.45M
Current Ratio
3.00
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data