B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FRD
Friedman IndustriesFNasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Company benefits from stronger-than-expected steel demand and margin expansion, plus positive analyst coverage that lifts multiples toward larger peers.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Cyclical demand and customer concentration
Momentum
97
Value
50
Sentiment
25
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.01 · Bull $24.15 · Bear $15.79Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d +0.7
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment25 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical demand and customer concentration
- • Raw-material / commodity price volatility
- • Weak end-market demand, volatile raw-material costs, or disappointing quarterly results force multiple compression and lower-than-expected cash generation.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Q1 2026 earnings & guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.2
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.9
Sentiment
25
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 96.9 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 24.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$20.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.79
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$346.79M
Beta
1.56
Shares Out
7.21M
P/E (TTM)
12.4
P/S (TTM)
0.28
P/FCF (TTM)
12.91
Rev YoY
+78.1%
EPS YoY
+151.3%
Gross Margin
+9.8%
Op Margin
+5.3%
Net Debt
$97.66M
Current Ratio
2.90
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data