B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FPI
Farmland PartnersBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: steady distributions, accretive asset sales and land-value appreciation lift NAV toward the analyst high (~$15), producing meaningful upside from the broker-last anchor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
Liquidity constraints on asset sales
Momentum
83
Value
59
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.41 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $11.11Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +14.4
Value59 · Δ7d -
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Liquidity constraints on asset sales
- • Material cut to quarterly distribution/AFFO
- • Bear case: higher rates, weaker land values, or distribution cuts drive NAV compression toward the analyst low (~$11.11), producing downside versus the anchor.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Next quarterly distribution decision
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.4
Δ21d
+44.4
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-13.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 83.1 / Value 59.1 / Sentiment 63.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$12.41
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$426.71M
Beta
0.79
Shares Out
43.63M
P/E (TTM)
11.4
P/S (TTM)
8.06
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-55.69
Rev YoY
-5.7%
EPS YoY
-49.5%
Gross Margin
+75.6%
Op Margin
+45.7%
Net Debt
$152.05M
Current Ratio
12.20
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data