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FOXF

Fox FactoryC
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fox reported $25 million-plus of first-half gross profit-optimization savings and Q2 sequential margin improvement. If those savings endure and supply and upfit constraints ease, earnings could recover from reduced expectations.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Chassis availability and operational problems constrain the upfit business; bike sales were softer than expected. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-16]
Momentum
16
Value
55
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $16.00 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $18.33
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -10.4
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Chassis availability and operational problems constrain the upfit business; bike sales were softer than expected. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-16]
  • • Powered-vehicle supply disruption, unfavorable mix and steel, aluminum and freight inflation may continue to pressure margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-16]
  • • The preliminary Q3 miss extends beyond divested Marucci into powered vehicles, upfit and bike; the lowered Q4 outlook assumes no further input-cost increases.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 results test the preliminary Q3 shortfall

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.4
Δ21d
-38.5
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 16.5 / Value 55.5 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$648.96M
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
42.03M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.2
P/S (TTM)
0.50
P/FCF (TTM)
8.59
Rev YoY
-4.5%
EPS YoY
+47.3%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+4.8%
Net Debt
$721.54M
Current Ratio
3.10
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data