B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$575.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FN
FabrinetCNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record Q4 revenue, record non-GAAP EPS, 36% FY2026 revenue growth, and Q1 FY2027 revenue guidance of $1.375-$1.425 billion support a constructive medium-term operating thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.2.
What can break
Capital expenditures funded partly with term-loan proceeds create execution, cash-flow, and return-on-investment monitoring needs. [#8-K-2026-08-17]
Momentum
7
Value
48
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $500.00 · Bull $575.00 · Bear $390.00Analysis 2026-08-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $720.70
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -3.5
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -5.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Capital expenditures funded partly with term-loan proceeds create execution, cash-flow, and return-on-investment monitoring needs. [#8-K-2026-08-17]
- • Negative quarterly free cash flow and gross-margin pressure could weaken the market's view of growth quality. [Investing.com market-reaction report](https://ng.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/why-is-fabrinet-stock-sliding-today-93CH-2664144)
- • The negative post-print response indicates that strong execution was already heavily expected.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-17
FY2026 earnings beat guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-13.5
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.2
Δ21d
-14.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 6.9 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 68.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-20. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$500.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$390.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$21.45B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
35.83M
P/E (TTM)
47.1
P/S (TTM)
4.56
P/FCF (TTM)
81.49
Rev YoY
+44.6%
EPS YoY
+58.5%
Gross Margin
+12.1%
Op Margin
+10.1%
Net Debt
-$871.04M
Current Ratio
2.25
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data