B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CVFNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
STRONG execution on OXXO expansion and above-consensus beverage margins lift revenue and EPS, justifying premium multiple.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
MXN depreciation vs USD; input-cost inflation; regulatory changes in Mexico; weaker-than-expected store-level sales
Momentum
41
Value
62
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.80 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $8.20Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $140.98
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d +7.4
Value62 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • MXN depreciation vs USD; input-cost inflation; regulatory changes in Mexico; weaker-than-expected store-level sales
- • Commodity/FX pressure and slower store productivity reduce margins and cash flows, forcing multiple compression.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2025-10-28
Quarterly earnings release (FY2025 Q3)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+14.0
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+8.5
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 40.8 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.6B
Beta
0.69
Shares Out
201.52M
P/E (TTM)
46.8
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
56.34
Rev YoY
+22.7%
EPS YoY
+134.0%
Gross Margin
+40.5%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$7.2B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data