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FLS

FlowserveB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious bull case built on Q1 adjusted margin expansion, adjusted EPS growth, stable backlog, and reaffirmed $4.00-$4.20 adjusted EPS guidance despite a volatile operating backdrop. The notes financing also suggests management is still advancing the Trillium Valves acquisition plan.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Management cited a ($0.06) EPS headwind related to ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
Momentum
45
Value
57
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $87.60
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +0.2
Value57 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +4.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management cited a ($0.06) EPS headwind related to ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
  • • Original equipment bookings declined 13.0% year over year in Q1, signaling possible project timing or demand softness.
  • • The near-term bear case is that top-line demand softened more than margins imply: Q1 sales fell 6.7%, total bookings fell 6.4%, original equipment bookings fell 13.0%, and management reduced full-year sales-growth expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Senior notes financing and Trillium Valves deal close remain key execution checkpoints

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+6.4
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 45.4 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 65.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$8.67B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
127.11M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
17.76
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+24.2%
Gross Margin
+35.8%
Op Margin
+13.0%
Net Debt
$1B
Current Ratio
2.15
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data