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FLS

FlowserveB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious bull case built on Q1 adjusted margin expansion, adjusted EPS growth, stable backlog, and reaffirmed $4.00-$4.20 adjusted EPS guidance despite a volatile operating backdrop. The notes financing also suggests management is still advancing the Trillium Valves acquisition plan.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
Management cited a ($0.06) EPS headwind related to ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
Momentum
82
Value
57
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $89.10
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d -3.2
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management cited a ($0.06) EPS headwind related to ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
  • • Original equipment bookings declined 13.0% year over year in Q1, signaling possible project timing or demand softness.
  • • The near-term bear case is that top-line demand softened more than margins imply: Q1 sales fell 6.7%, total bookings fell 6.4%, original equipment bookings fell 13.0%, and management reduced full-year sales-growth expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-12

Senior notes financing and Trillium Valves deal close remain key execution checkpoints

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
82
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
-2.3
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
+4.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 82.5 / Value 56.7 / Sentiment 62.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.29B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
127.11M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
17.76
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+24.2%
Gross Margin
+35.8%
Op Margin
+13.0%
Net Debt
$1B
Current Ratio
2.15
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data