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FLR

FluorD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive read is that backlog held at $25.7 billion, recent awards span several end markets, operating cash flow was a nine-year Q1 high at $110 million, and NuScale monetization plus buybacks leave Fluor with unusual capital flexibility for an EPC name.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
What can break
Additional cost growth or execution slippage on large mining or lump-sum projects.
Momentum
85
Value
34
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $45.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $36.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $64.67
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +2.4
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional cost growth or execution slippage on large mining or lump-sum projects.
  • • Award timing risk remains elevated after the 54% y/y drop in Q1 new awards.
  • • The bearish read is that the quarter exposed weak earnings quality: awards were down sharply y/y, Urban Solutions absorbed mining-project cost growth, Mission Solutions took a $96 million court-ruling charge, and management had to cut the upper end of 2026 EBITDA guidance immediately after Q1.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-16

Post-earnings reset after lower top-end 2026 EBITDA outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+29.8
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
40
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
-3.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 84.6 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 40.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.32B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
133.74M
P/E (TTM)
2.3
P/S (TTM)
0.46
P/FCF (TTM)
11.41
Rev YoY
+8.8%
EPS YoY
-94.5%
Gross Margin
-0.8%
Op Margin
-2.1%
Net Debt
-$2.7B
Current Ratio
1.80
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data