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FLL

Full House ResortsB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
American Place posted record second-quarter revenue, while consolidated revenue rose 5.6% and adjusted EBITDA rose 19.5%. Executed financing on acceptable terms could reduce the principal overhang and support further development.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Construction funding and debt refinancing may fail to close or carry unfavorable terms. [#8-K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
96
Value
46
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.95 · Bull $1.50 · Bear $0.40Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.10
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -
Value46 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Construction funding and debt refinancing may fail to close or carry unfavorable terms. [#8-K-2026-10-21]
  • • Substantial indebtedness and construction cost or schedule overruns threaten equity value. [#8-K-2026-10-21]
  • • The October financing proposal is neither definitive nor assured.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

American Place financing and debt refinancing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 96.3 / Value 45.8 / Sentiment 70.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$29.32M
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
36.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.7
P/S (TTM)
0.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-93.05
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-17.2%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$490.93M
Current Ratio
0.62
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data