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FLL

Full House ResortsA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Recent operating momentum is tangible, led by record American Place performance and improving Chamonix results. Successful refinancing and continued temporary-facility growth could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Leverage and funding requirements create downside if financing terms deteriorate.
Momentum
96
Value
45
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.50 · Bull $3.40 · Bear $1.35Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.70
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Leverage and funding requirements create downside if financing terms deteriorate.
  • • Operating momentum at American Place or Chamonix could slow after recent gains.
  • • The financing and refinancing process remains unresolved, and the company continues to report a net loss.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Debt refinancing and project financing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-6.8
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 96.3 / Value 45.1 / Sentiment 87.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$79.89M
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
36.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.0
P/S (TTM)
0.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-253.49
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-17.2%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$490.93M
Current Ratio
0.62
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data