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FIVN

Five9B
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue grew 10% to $312.4 million, subscription revenue grew 14%, and management cited accelerating AI revenue. Conversion of the large customer agreement and Voice AI launch could sustain growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Adjusted gross and EBITDA margin compression may persist despite subscription growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
87
Value
63
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $36.70
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -5.9
Value63 · Δ7d -1.4
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -20.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted gross and EBITDA margin compression may persist despite subscription growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Management's outlook is subject to macroeconomic uncertainty, and the next earnings date has not been company-confirmed. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Year-over-year declines in adjusted gross margin, adjusted EBITDA margin, and non-GAAP EPS mean growth has not yet translated into better profitability.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-09

Q3 results test subscription growth against margin pressure

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
-9.2
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.2
Δ21d
-13.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 87.3 / Value 62.9 / Sentiment 50.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.81B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
74.72M
P/E (TTM)
50.2
P/S (TTM)
1.32
P/FCF (TTM)
9.05
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+203.1%
Gross Margin
+54.1%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
$108.18M
Current Ratio
3.74
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data