B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FIVE
Five BelowBNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit comparable-sales growth, raised FY26 outlook and traffic-led execution support continued positive revisions [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]. The $252.20 anchor is approximately 23% below the supplied median analyst target of $310.95.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
BOPIS, third-party delivery and store-experience investments may dilute margins.
Momentum
92
Value
51
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $311.00 · Bull $350.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $310.95
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +8.1
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +20.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +20.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • BOPIS, third-party delivery and store-experience investments may dilute margins.
- • Holiday demand and Q4 comparable-sales growth may undershoot the outlook.
- • The outlook embeds roughly 3% Q4 comparable-sales growth against a 15% year-ago comparison.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-03
Q2 FY26 beat and raised outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.1
Δ21d
+3.3
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.5
Δ21d
+38.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 92.1 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 72.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$311.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.19B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
55.3M
P/E (TTM)
35.3
P/S (TTM)
2.45
P/FCF (TTM)
33.58
Rev YoY
+32.5%
EPS YoY
+196.8%
Gross Margin
+32.9%
Op Margin
+11.0%
Net Debt
$1.1B
Current Ratio
2.10
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data