B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FIGS
FIGSFNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
FIGS reestablishes comp growth through successful new-product rollouts and meaningful wholesale wins, sustaining margin recovery and triggering multiple expansion that pushes valuation toward the analyst high [#SERP-1].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Earnings/guidance miss
Momentum
99
Value
42
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.50 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.13
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d +1.2
Value42 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -0.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Earnings/guidance miss
- • Intense competition and price pressure
- • Ongoing traffic declines, inventory-driven markdowns, and persistent margin compression prompt downward analyst revisions and drive the stock toward the analyst low absent clear operational recovery [#SERP-2].
Catalyst clock
2026-02-28
Q4 & FY2025 earnings release and call
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
99
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+19.9
Value
42
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-2.2
Sentiment
0
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-26.9
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 99.0 / Value 42.0 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.36B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
166.14M
P/E (TTM)
113.6
P/S (TTM)
3.19
P/FCF (TTM)
84.38
Rev YoY
+28.8%
EPS YoY
+253.8%
Gross Margin
+67.4%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
-$240.84M
Current Ratio
4.96
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data