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FHI

Federated HermesC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger net inflows, realized margin gains, or a shift toward higher-fee products lift revenue and EPS, enabling multiple expansion above current peer-adjusted levels and pushing the stock toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Failure to achieve cost‑savings or execute product repositioning
Momentum
67
Value
58
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $54.01 · Bull $59.11 · Bear $45.68Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $61.57
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -3.9
Value58 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to achieve cost‑savings or execute product repositioning
  • • Fee compression from passive products and pricing pressure
  • • Sustained outflows, fee erosion, or failure to deliver cost savings reduce earnings visibility and trigger valuation multiple contraction toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Quarterly earnings & AUM update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-6.9
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 67.0 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$59.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$54.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$45.68
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.79B
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
74.66M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
2.37
P/FCF (TTM)
26.72
Rev YoY
+18.2%
EPS YoY
+19.6%
Gross Margin
+73.9%
Op Margin
+28.0%
Net Debt
-$268.64M
Current Ratio
2.59
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data