RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

FGI

FGI IndustriesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed meaningful margin and profitability improvement, with U.S. revenue growth, stronger Sanitaryware and Shower Systems performance, and potential second-half growth from Covered Bridge and new customer programs.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Demand is uneven across regions and categories, with Q2 declines in Canada, Europe, Bath Furniture, and Other products [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12].
Momentum
89
Value
65
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.23 · Bull $9.44 · Bear $6.04Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.00
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand is uneven across regions and categories, with Q2 declines in Canada, Europe, Bath Furniture, and Other products [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12].
  • • Execution against the second-half Covered Bridge and Shower Systems outlook remains unproven.
  • • Revenue growth remains modest and geographically uneven, while tariffs, softer Canada and Europe demand, weaker Bath Furniture, and limited liquidity leave execution and downside risks elevated.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 2026 profitability recovery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+14.0
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 88.5 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 67.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.44
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.23
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$17.54M
Beta
1.43
Shares Out
1.93M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.8
P/S (TTM)
0.08
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
10.24
Rev YoY
+2.9%
EPS YoY
-200.5%
Gross Margin
+26.5%
Op Margin
+0.3%
Net Debt
$21.68M
Current Ratio
1.18
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data