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FFIV

F5A
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q4's 23% product growth and 19% software growth support continued demand, while the larger repurchase authorization offers potential per-share support. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
FY27 revenue growth guidance of 8%–9% may not sustain the recent product-growth pace. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
Momentum
67
Value
55
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $445.00 · Bull $510.00 · Bear $370.00Analysis 2026-10-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $444.78
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +10.2
Value55 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY27 revenue growth guidance of 8%–9% may not sustain the recent product-growth pace. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
  • • Q4 non-GAAP operating margin fell to 33.7% from 37.0% a year earlier despite revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
  • • The beat did not prevent a sharp initial selloff.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Q4 beat meets a negative post-earnings reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
-2.0
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
87
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-2.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 67.3 / Value 54.8 / Sentiment 86.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$510.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$445.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$370.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$20.7B
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
56.63M
P/E (TTM)
23.1
P/S (TTM)
5.12
P/FCF (TTM)
17.44
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+11.4%
Gross Margin
+80.6%
Op Margin
+25.0%
Net Debt
-$1.08B
Current Ratio
1.64
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data