RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

FF

FutureFuelC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Buyback execution plus stabilization of adjusted EBITDA and clearer benefit from blenders' tax credits drive re-rating toward higher multiples; improved liquidity and active repurchases push shares toward the high analyst targets.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.1.
What can break
Commodity / feedstock price swings impacting margins
Momentum
74
Value
33
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.20 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $3.20Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d -14.4
Value33 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -4.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity / feedstock price swings impacting margins
  • • Insufficient buyback execution or reversal of capital-allocation plan
  • • Continued negative adjusted EBITDA, failure to execute meaningful repurchases, or worse-than-expected operating headwinds keep multiple depressed and push the shares below current analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Board redirects capital: dividend cut and active $25M buyback program

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-20.2
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
+5.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 74.0 / Value 32.7 / Sentiment 69.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$251.78M
Beta
0.71
Shares Out
43.86M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.1
P/S (TTM)
1.02
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.26
Rev YoY
+120.7%
EPS YoY
-178.5%
Gross Margin
-5.0%
Op Margin
-14.8%
Net Debt
-$51.32M
Current Ratio
4.06
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data