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FER

FerrovialA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Ferrovial combines strong H1 operating momentum, growing North American managed-lanes exposure, a record construction order book and substantial ex-infrastructure net cash. The I-24 award adds U.S.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.2.
What can break
Concentration in a relatively small number of major infrastructure projects.
Momentum
25
Value
54
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $69.00 · Bull $76.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $70.64
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +9.9
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d -3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration in a relatively small number of major infrastructure projects.
  • • Execution, pricing and financing risk on large U.S. P3 projects.
  • • The JFK delay remains an execution and potential cost overhang, while weaker traffic at selected assets could temper near-term growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

I-24 Choice Lanes selection

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
+8.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 24.7 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 85.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$69.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$45.76B
Beta
0.69
Shares Out
725.33M
P/E (TTM)
12.1
P/S (TTM)
4.43
P/FCF (TTM)
40.37
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
+33.4%
Gross Margin
+10.4%
Op Margin
+10.4%
Net Debt
$7.59B
Current Ratio
1.20
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data