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FCX

Freeport-McMoRanC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Grasberg life-of-resource extension proves cash-flow accretive, capex is manageable and copper/metals price strength persists; investors re-rate FCX toward the high end of analyst range.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Commodity price volatility (copper, gold)
Momentum
85
Value
50
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-03-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $73.86
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -2.7
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity price volatility (copper, gold)
  • • Geopolitical and permitting risk at Grasberg
  • • Contractual terms or higher-than-expected capex/asset retirement obligations dent free cash flow and require higher reinvestment, pressuring the multiple.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-23

8-K disclosure window (March 20/23, 2026) — monitor for material operational/capex items

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
+6.9
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-3.9
Sentiment
51
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-10.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 84.8 / Value 50.3 / Sentiment 51.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$98.19B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
1.44B
P/E (TTM)
37.9
P/S (TTM)
3.00
P/FCF (TTM)
63.52
Rev YoY
-8.5%
EPS YoY
+27.4%
Gross Margin
+24.5%
Op Margin
+22.1%
Net Debt
$6.44B
Current Ratio
2.07
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data