B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond GlobalBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue growth and the $28.4 million Attractions pipeline provide credible upside if contracts convert into profitable revenue and cash flow. FCG's $17.1 million pipeline adds another potential source of project activity [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -66.6.
What can break
Attributable economics from FCG remain pressured by preferred-return and amortization adjustments [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Momentum
3
Value
34
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.40 · Bull $12.50 · Bear $5.80Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-14
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-14
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-14. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d +1.1
Value34 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment88 · Δ7d -66.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -66.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Attributable economics from FCG remain pressured by preferred-return and amortization adjustments [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
- • Loose peer comparability limits relative-valuation confidence.
- • The Q2 result still showed a $5.2 million Adjusted EBITDA loss and a consolidated net loss.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-13
Q2 print confirms revenue growth but persistent operating losses
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+0.7
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-66.6
Δ21d
-35.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 3.0 / Value 33.8 / Sentiment 88.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$983.56M
Beta
-0.52
Shares Out
49.01M
P/E (TTM)
25.0
P/S (TTM)
188.09
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-43.50
Rev YoY
+120.4%
EPS YoY
-104.3%
Gross Margin
+62.3%
Op Margin
-66.9%
Net Debt
$16.11M
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-09-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data