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FBIN

Fortune Brands InnovationsA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Service improvements and product development could restore underlying sales growth while Security remains resilient; a favorable Fiberon outcome could sharpen portfolio focus. These remain execution-dependent possibilities, not established results.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
What can break
Q2 Water sales fell 6.5%; service and product-development investments may take time to improve performance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Momentum
62
Value
67
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $41.00 · Bull $49.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.88
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d +11.1
Value67 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -4.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 Water sales fell 6.5%; service and product-development investments may take time to improve performance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • Quarter-end net debt was $2.3 billion, or 2.7 times EBITDA before charges and gains, limiting flexibility if demand or cash flow weakens [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • Q2 sales contracted, Water declined 6.5%, and the apparent EPS-guidance increase depends on anticipated tariff refunds.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03 · AMC

Second-half results test underlying guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
+28.7
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-17.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 62.2 / Value 67.0 / Sentiment 56.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$5.27B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
119.37M
P/E (TTM)
19.1
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
22.35
Rev YoY
-4.1%
EPS YoY
-122.7%
Gross Margin
+44.9%
Op Margin
+15.2%
Net Debt
$2.52B
Current Ratio
2.01
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data