B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FBIN
Fortune Brands InnovationsANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company retains strong brands, Security grew 3.8% in Q2, adjusted operating margins improved in Water and Security, free cash flow was $179.3 million, and management is investing to improve service and product development. Successful execution could support a recovery toward the available median analyst target of $57.43, though target coverage count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.
What can break
Analyst target count, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
27
Value
68
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $57.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-09-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $57.43
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -11.3
Value68 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target count, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable.
- • Demand remains exposed to housing, repair-and-remodel, new-home construction, tariffs, inflation, and commodity costs.
- • Sales declined 4.1%, GAAP operating margin was negative 0.8% after a large Outdoors impairment, Water sales fell 6.5%, and management expects near-term investments and service improvements to weigh on execution.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-30
Management insider buying support
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-18.0
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-8.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 27.0 / Value 67.6 / Sentiment 75.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.56B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
119.37M
P/E (TTM)
19.1
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
22.35
Rev YoY
-4.1%
EPS YoY
-122.7%
Gross Margin
+44.9%
Op Margin
+15.2%
Net Debt
$2.52B
Current Ratio
2.01
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data