RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

FANG

Diamondback EnergyB
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed strong production, cash generation, debt reduction, and improved full-year output guidance. Continued high oil prices and disciplined capital returns could support a re-rating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Debt remains substantial at approximately $12.8 billion despite the quarter's reduction [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Momentum
49
Value
63
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $198.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $234.83
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +1.2
Value63 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +8.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Debt remains substantial at approximately $12.8 billion despite the quarter's reduction [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • • Negative realized natural-gas pricing and Permian infrastructure or operating constraints could pressure margins.
  • • The initial market response was weak despite strong reported results, and negative gas realizations, commodity volatility, leverage, and execution risk can offset production gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-03

Q2 earnings and cash-flow beat

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
-19.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.2
Δ21d
+8.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 48.6 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 65.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$198.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$57.77B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
280.02M
P/E (TTM)
10.2
P/S (TTM)
2.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
11.03
Rev YoY
+51.2%
EPS YoY
+179.7%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+35.0%
Net Debt
$14.77B
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data