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Eagle MaterialsC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Public construction and large private non-residential projects supported 8% cement-volume growth in fiscal Q1. Successful Laramie commissioning, lower downtime and freight pressure, and continued repurchases could improve earnings conversion.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
Higher freight and diesel costs compressed cement and wallboard net pricing in fiscal Q1. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
29
Value
57
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $170.00 · Bull $210.00 · Bear $130.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $192.90
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +1.7
Value57 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -2.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher freight and diesel costs compressed cement and wallboard net pricing in fiscal Q1. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • June 30 net debt was $1.5 billion and net leverage was 2.1 times adjusted EBITDA, leaving capital-project execution and cash allocation important to monitor. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • Fiscal Q1 adjusted EBITDA declined 11% despite record revenue.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Fiscal Q2 results: test whether cement volume can offset margin pressure

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
29
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+4.9
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
-44.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 29.3 / Value 57.3 / Sentiment 55.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.36B
Beta
1.39
Shares Out
30.68M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
3.01
P/FCF (TTM)
32.98
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-12.6%
Gross Margin
+27.0%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
3.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data