B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EXP
Eagle MaterialsBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Heavy Materials momentum remains the strongest support: cement volume rose 8% on public construction and large private nonresidential projects, with the plant network preserving customer supply. Modernization and continued repurchases add longer-term support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
What can break
Debt was $1.8 billion with net debt of $1.5 billion and net leverage of 2.1x, limiting tolerance for prolonged earnings pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
16
Value
57
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $225.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $185.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $221.80
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d +2.8
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +8.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Debt was $1.8 billion with net debt of $1.5 billion and net leverage of 2.1x, limiting tolerance for prolonged earnings pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • Elevated diesel, freight, maintenance and raw-material costs can offset gross price increases and compress cement and wallboard margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • The earnings profile weakened despite record revenue: EPS declined 13%, adjusted EBITDA declined 11%, wallboard remained exposed to residential softness, and freight plus Mountain Cement costs pressured margins.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-29
Mixed Q1 FY2027 earnings print
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-11.8
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.1
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+9.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.1 / Value 56.5 / Sentiment 76.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.3B
Beta
1.39
Shares Out
30.68M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
3.01
P/FCF (TTM)
32.98
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-12.6%
Gross Margin
+27.0%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
3.23
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data