RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

EXC

ExelonD
Nasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Execution on outage management, successful rate-case outcomes, and continued transition to higher-margin clean generation drive multiple expansion and >25% upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
Adverse state/federal rate-case rulings
Momentum
50
Value
54
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.60
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d +10.4
Value54 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse state/federal rate-case rulings
  • • Credit rating actions tied to cash flow stress
  • • Prolonged generation outages, adverse rate decisions, or weaker power markets compress margins and credit metrics, producing double-digit downside.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30 · BMO

Quarterly earnings release (Q3)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
50
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+19.3
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
36
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-12.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 49.8 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 35.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$45.86B
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
1.03B
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.65
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
-0.3%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+20.8%
Net Debt
$49.4B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data