B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
EXC
ExelonDNasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution on outage management, successful rate-case outcomes, and continued transition to higher-margin clean generation drive multiple expansion and >25% upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
What can break
Adverse state/federal rate-case rulings
Momentum
38
Value
54
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $49.13
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -4.9
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse state/federal rate-case rulings
- • Credit rating actions tied to cash flow stress
- • Prolonged generation outages, adverse rate decisions, or weaker power markets compress margins and credit metrics, producing double-digit downside.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Quarterly earnings release (Q3)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
+9.4
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
+5.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 37.9 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 35.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$47.04B
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
1.03B
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.98
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
-0.3%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+20.8%
Net Debt
$49.4B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data