B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$390.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EVR
EvercoreBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary-source earnings release supports a constructive near-term read: revenue doubled year over year, advisory fees surged, operating margins expanded, and capital return improved through both a dividend increase and repurchases. If post-print estimate revisions follow, EVR could re-rate toward a higher earnings base.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.
What can break
Execution risk remains around converting a strong deal backdrop and recent senior hiring into sustained advisory fees later in 2026.
Momentum
13
Value
54
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $360.00 · Bull $390.00 · Bear $300.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $370.67
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -0.4
Value54 · Δ7d -8.5
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution risk remains around converting a strong deal backdrop and recent senior hiring into sustained advisory fees later in 2026.
- • Independent advisory peers create a cleaner benchmark than broad financials, but mix differences across M&A advisory, restructuring, private capital, equities, and wealth management still constrain peer-read precision.
- • This is still a transaction-fee-driven franchise with inherently lumpy quarterly outcomes, and management explicitly noted that any single quarter may not represent future periods.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 earnings reset with record revenue and higher dividend
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+2.5
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.5
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 13.4 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 80.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$360.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.66B
Beta
1.57
Shares Out
38.46M
P/E (TTM)
29.1
P/S (TTM)
4.20
P/FCF (TTM)
16.36
Rev YoY
+19.1%
EPS YoY
-1.8%
Gross Margin
+98.8%
Op Margin
+22.6%
Net Debt
-$1.85B
Current Ratio
2.47
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data