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ETOR

eToro GroupD
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
eToro is growing funded accounts, net contribution, and profitability while expanding products and pursuing a potentially accretive U.S. active-trading acquisition.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.
What can break
AUA, invested amount per trade, and interest-earning assets declined year over year in July.
Momentum
6
Value
59
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.47
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +1.4
Value59 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AUA, invested amount per trade, and interest-earning assets declined year over year in July.
  • • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social data are unavailable or insufficient.
  • • The earnings print was mixed because crypto activity weakened sharply in July, while the TradeZero transaction adds execution, regulatory, dilution, and integration risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Q2 earnings showed profitable growth, but mixed mix signals

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
-11.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 5.7 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 56.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.28B
Beta
-
Shares Out
81.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
10.9
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
9.70
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+74.1%
Gross Margin
+94.4%
Op Margin
+32.0%
Net Debt
-$1.23B
Current Ratio
4.02
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data