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ESOA

Energy Services of AmericaB
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
ESOA has real operating evidence behind the story: December-quarter revenue and gross profit improved, backlog and unsatisfied performance obligations remain sizable, water and transmission activity are strengthening, and acquisitions could lift mix over FY2026.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
Acquisition integration risk remains for Tribute and Rigney.
Momentum
4
Value
52
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.50
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -1.3
Value52 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +2.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration risk remains for Tribute and Rigney.
  • • Backlog quality may not translate cleanly into cash earnings if change orders, mix, or execution slip.
  • • This is still a low-coverage, low-catalyst-density name with uneven historical margin conversion.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Fiscal Q2 2026 filing needs to confirm backlog conversion into revenue and margin

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-5.2
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 3.6 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 83.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$243.32M
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
18.66M
P/E (TTM)
380.5
P/S (TTM)
0.34
P/FCF (TTM)
166.32
Rev YoY
+25.5%
EPS YoY
+41.0%
Gross Margin
+11.8%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
$62.01M
Current Ratio
1.50
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data