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ESE

ESCOC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 organic sales growth of 8%, record backlog and raised FY2026 guidance support a constructive operating case. Megger could broaden the utility platform if integration and cash generation offset financing costs.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.0.
What can break
Backlog may convert later or at lower margins than expected; Q3 aerospace-and-defense adjusted EBIT faced inflation and unfavorable mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
35
Value
51
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $250.00 · Bull $295.00 · Bear $185.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $352.75
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -19.7
Value51 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -14.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog may convert later or at lower margins than expected; Q3 aerospace-and-defense adjusted EBIT faced inflation and unfavorable mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Current analyst revisions, a dated next earnings announcement and a verified post-acquisition earnings forecast were unavailable.
  • • The $2.3 billion Megger transaction adds integration, dilution and leverage risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-15

FY2026 results and first post-Megger outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.7
Δ21d
-18.6
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.0
Δ21d
-9.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 34.7 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 62.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$295.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.2B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
31.01M
P/E (TTM)
42.1
P/S (TTM)
4.49
P/FCF (TTM)
28.73
Rev YoY
+14.4%
EPS YoY
+25.3%
Gross Margin
+35.7%
Op Margin
+15.7%
Net Debt
$151.5M
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data