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ESCA

EscaladeA
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales rose 6.2% and gross margin expanded 146 basis points; continued archery strength, favorable mix and improved cash conversion could support underlying earnings. The October 29 report must confirm persistence without tariff recoveries.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
ASL integration benefits are unquantified, while product demand, costs and tariffs remain execution risks. [#IR-2026-08-25]
Momentum
95
Value
64
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.00
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ASL integration benefits are unquantified, while product demand, costs and tariffs remain execution risks. [#IR-2026-08-25]
  • • Q2 operating cash flow declined year over year because working capital consumed more cash. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • The $10.2 million pretax tariff recovery made Q2 reported earnings a poor run-rate measure.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

October 29 results: test underlying earnings

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
95
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 94.7 / Value 64.3 / Sentiment 52.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$255.22M
Beta
0.71
Shares Out
13.77M
P/E (TTM)
15.2
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
10.45
Rev YoY
+6.2%
EPS YoY
+417.1%
Gross Margin
+27.2%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$7.88M
Current Ratio
3.21
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data