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EQNR

Equinor ASAD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: sustained Brent recovery and timely execution on sanctioned renewables raise free cash flow and support a re-rating toward the analyst high (~$33), though upside is capped by capex needs and execution risk.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Brent crude price collapse reducing upstream cash flow
Momentum
79
Value
68
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
12 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $24.45 · Bull $33.00 · Bear $20.35Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $38.66
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +3.1
Value68 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment34 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Brent crude price collapse reducing upstream cash flow
  • • Operational outages or major project cost overruns
  • • Bear: prolonged weak commodity prices, project delays or cost overruns, or pressure on distributions compress multiples and drive the share price toward the analyst low (~$20).

Catalyst clock

2026-02-04

FY2025 / Q4 2025 earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
-8.4
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+10.5
Sentiment
34
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 79.1 / Value 67.8 / Sentiment 33.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$24.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$98.62B
Beta
1.05
Shares Out
2.39B
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
0.56
P/FCF (TTM)
60.03
Rev YoY
+36.0%
EPS YoY
+294.3%
Gross Margin
+30.3%
Op Margin
+29.3%
Net Debt
$11.89B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data