B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EPR
EPR PropertiesCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The T+3 earnings read is constructive: FFOAA/AFFO per share grew, guidance was raised, liquidity stayed strong, and the Six Flags portfolio is largely closed. If delayed analyst revisions follow management’s higher guide, the stock can hold or modestly extend above the pre-print range.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.
What can break
Growth still depends on acquisition and redevelopment execution; if experiential deal pacing slows, the raised spending guide could fail to convert into earnings.
Momentum
59
Value
62
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.50 · Bull $64.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $64.79
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -12.7
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +4.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Growth still depends on acquisition and redevelopment execution; if experiential deal pacing slows, the raised spending guide could fail to convert into earnings.
- • Immediate upside may be constrained because the shares are already trading near the packet median analyst target.
- • The market may treat this as a mostly priced-in good quarter.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-06
Post-earnings guide raise supports near-term floor but likely caps immediate upside
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.7
Δ21d
-10.5
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.8
Δ21d
+3.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 59.0 / Value 62.4 / Sentiment 49.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$58.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.63B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
76.61M
P/E (TTM)
22.2
P/S (TTM)
5.44
P/FCF (TTM)
378.84
Rev YoY
+10.1%
EPS YoY
-12.7%
Gross Margin
+51.2%
Op Margin
+36.6%
Net Debt
$3.04B
Current Ratio
7.95
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data