EPM

Evolution PetroleumD

NYSE American / Energy

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The constructive read is that Q3 looked unusually noisy rather than structurally broken: production was flat year over year, management described the main drags as temporary or one-time, the dividend was maintained at $0.12, and near-term Louisiana wells plus TexMex optimization could improve Q4 cash flow. [#8-K-2026-05-12]

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.7.

What can break

Delhi Field marketing and transportation adjustments may not prove fully one-time if operator or contract issues persist. [#8-K-2026-05-12]

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $4.60 · Bull $5.20 · Bear $3.70

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $5.06

Why

Momentum19 · Δ7d -4.8

Value55 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment64 · Δ7d -10.7

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.8

Δ21d

-8.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-10.7

Δ21d

-2.5

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 19.5 / Value 55.1 / Sentiment 64.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$136.68M

Beta

0.34

Shares Out

35.87M

P/E (TTM)

126.4

P/S (TTM)

1.40

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-4.28

Rev YoY

-10.6%

EPS YoY

+287.2%

Gross Margin

+13.6%

Op Margin

+2.6%

Net Debt

$35.06M

Current Ratio

0.61

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology