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EPAC

Enerpac Tool GroupA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q4 organic sales grew 10%, fiscal 2026 free cash flow reached $119.6 million, and SFE broadens the product portfolio. Sustained organic growth plus successful integration could support a higher valuation, although the initial price reaction already captured some optimism.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes no substantial change in tariffs or the regulatory environment. SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
84
Value
61
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-11-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-06 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-05 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-05

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-05. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.50
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +41.2
Value61 · Δ7d -1.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -5.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes no substantial change in tariffs or the regulatory environment. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Q4 margin compression from mix, incentive compensation and growth investment could persist despite the revenue beat. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Q4 gross margin fell to 47.0% from 50.1%, adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 22.6% from 26.5%, and acquisition-related leverage raises the cost of an integration miss.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

November 4 Investor Day

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+41.2
Δ21d
+40.5
Value
61
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-1.8
Sentiment
54
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 83.9 / Value 60.7 / Sentiment 54.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-06
Market Cap
$1.99B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
51.31M
P/E (TTM)
23.8
P/S (TTM)
3.40
P/FCF (TTM)
20.88
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
+42.6%
Gross Margin
+49.0%
Op Margin
+21.8%
Net Debt
$76.19M
Current Ratio
2.67
As of 2026-11-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data