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EMR

Emerson ElectricC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained order momentum and realized margin recovery drive re-rating toward the analyst high (bull target: 178.5).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Adverse FX or commodity input cost swings
Momentum
88
Value
52
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $155.00 · Bull $178.50 · Bear $130.00Analysis 2026-02-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $179.23
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -0.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse FX or commodity input cost swings
  • • Disappointing M&A integration or strategic execution
  • • Industrial capex weakness or failed execution on restructuring leads to margin pressure and downside toward the bear scenario (130.0).

Catalyst clock

2026-03-06

Analyst target revisions

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+8.7
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 87.5 / Value 51.9 / Sentiment 50.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$178.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$90.13B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
557.8M
P/E (TTM)
35.4
P/S (TTM)
4.45
P/FCF (TTM)
54.41
Rev YoY
+7.0%
EPS YoY
+23.3%
Gross Margin
+48.7%
Op Margin
+20.6%
Net Debt
$12.22B
Current Ratio
0.90
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data