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EMPD

Empery DigitalF
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The upside case is asset-backed optionality rather than current operating earnings: Bitcoin exposure, the closed CDP investment and potential Midwest AI-data-center execution could support a re-rating if projects become financeable and operational.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -46.0.
What can break
Bitcoin volatility and digital-asset losses can dominate reported results and equity sentiment.
Momentum
11
Value
36
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.50 · Bull $4.50 · Bear $1.40Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d +1.3
Value36 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -46.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -46.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bitcoin volatility and digital-asset losses can dominate reported results and equity sentiment.
  • • Cash of approximately $3.6 million is small relative to long-term debt of approximately $55.0 million and planned capital commitments.
  • • The post-earnings picture remains weak.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 2026 filing highlights weak operating base

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-46.0
Δ21d
-46.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 10.6 / Value 36.2 / Sentiment 44.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$78.71M
Beta
-0.61
Shares Out
28.11M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.3
P/S (TTM)
70.71
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.04
Rev YoY
-57.9%
EPS YoY
-79.7%
Gross Margin
-151.9%
Op Margin
-1691.4%
Net Debt
$89.54M
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data