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EMN

Eastman ChemicalB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company-source Q2 release and earnings-call context support a constructive second-half setup: higher volume/mix, improved utilization, price-cost benefits, cost savings, and circular-platform growth [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
What can break
Chemical-intermediates benefits may ease if supply-chain disruptions lessen, while Fibers remains exposed to destocking and weak textile demand.
Momentum
43
Value
58
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $79.60 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $64.50Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.93
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -0.2
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +6.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Chemical-intermediates benefits may ease if supply-chain disruptions lessen, while Fibers remains exposed to destocking and weak textile demand.
  • • Circular-revenue progress may be slower because of rPET production constraints and customer sensitivity to recycled-content premiums [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31].
  • • The thesis remains execution-sensitive because management does not expect broad recovery in automotive, consumer durables, and other weak discretionary markets.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-02

Second-half utilization and price-cost improvement

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-15.4
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-3.7
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
+7.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.4 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 73.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$79.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.46B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
114.38M
P/E (TTM)
10.8
P/S (TTM)
0.82
P/FCF (TTM)
527.57
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
+31.7%
Gross Margin
+20.0%
Op Margin
+9.5%
Net Debt
$4.39B
Current Ratio
1.50
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data