B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EMBC
EmbectaCNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q3 print supports a positive but early recovery thesis: sequential revenue and operating-income improvement, international growth, Owen Mumford contribution, GLP-1 partner launches, debt repayment, and raised adjusted margin/EPS guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Execution and integration risk from the Owen Mumford acquisition
Momentum
94
Value
73
Sentiment
28
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.84 · Bull $5.10 · Bear $4.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.00
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -1.1
Value73 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment28 · Δ7d -3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution and integration risk from the Owen Mumford acquisition
- • Limited analyst coverage and incomplete target-revision evidence
- • The recovery is not yet validated: U.S.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
Q3 FY2026 sequential recovery and guidance improvement
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Value
73
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
28
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
-19.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 94.1 / Value 73.0 / Sentiment 28.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$380.19M
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
56.66M
P/E (TTM)
7.2
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
4.67
Rev YoY
-8.1%
EPS YoY
-53.6%
Gross Margin
+59.6%
Op Margin
+26.4%
Net Debt
$1.22B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data