B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ELMD
ElectromedANYSE American / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
FY2026 showed record revenue and profit, 15 consecutive quarters of year-over-year growth, improving operating leverage, strong gross margins, $20.5 million of cash, and no debt. Continued homecare growth, sales-representative productivity, payer coverage, and bronchiectasis-market development could support recovery from the recent selloff.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
CEO succession and leadership-continuity risk by April 2027
Momentum
3
Value
55
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-25 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.50
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -7.1
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CEO succession and leadership-continuity risk by April 2027
- • Hospital revenue volatility and long sales cycles
- • The market reaction indicates that strong EPS and margin performance did not offset the modest revenue miss, hospital-channel decline, low forward visibility, and announced CEO transition.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-27
Mixed Q4/FY2026 print has triggered a post-earnings reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.1
Δ21d
-77.7
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
+25.2
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 2.6 / Value 55.0 / Sentiment 87.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-25
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-25
Market Cap
$333.11M
Beta
0.27
Shares Out
8.28M
P/E (TTM)
30.4
P/S (TTM)
3.56
P/FCF (TTM)
26.96
Rev YoY
+18.4%
EPS YoY
+64.7%
Gross Margin
+78.4%
Op Margin
+18.5%
Net Debt
-$15.09M
Current Ratio
4.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data