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ELE

Elemental RoyaltyC
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record 2025 results, sharply higher 2026 guidance, a newly declared dividend, and TSX graduation all point to a company that has stepped into a larger post-merger revenue base with improving capital-markets relevance.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
What can break
Dividend sustainability risk despite inaugural declaration
Momentum
18
Value
40
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.50 · Bull $24.50 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.69
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d -6.9
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dividend sustainability risk despite inaugural declaration
  • • Gold and copper price sensitivity embedded in guidance assumptions
  • • The current thesis still rests mostly on company press releases rather than a broader set of primary filings or independent operating datapoints, and delivery depends on third-party mine operators, metal prices, and smooth post-merger execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-31

Post-TSX graduation trading and visibility reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-57.0
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
78
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+6.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 18.4 / Value 39.5 / Sentiment 77.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$1.14B
Beta
0.31
Shares Out
63.83M
P/E (TTM)
79.2
P/S (TTM)
31.81
P/FCF (TTM)
47.96
Rev YoY
+161.6%
EPS YoY
+760.0%
Gross Margin
+65.9%
Op Margin
+20.6%
Net Debt
-$68.77M
Current Ratio
5.48
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data