EL
Estee Lauder CompaniesCNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Sustained margin recovery, better-than-expected organic growth in key markets (China/travel-retail), and upward analyst revisions push consensus toward the high end of targets; premium brands regain pricing power and distribution expands.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.6.
What can break
Disappointing guidance driving analyst downgrades
Momentum
21
Value
51
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $108.54 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $60.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $94.56
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d -4.8
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -8.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-12.0
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
75
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.6
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 21.1 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 74.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$29.8B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
361.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
23.8
P/S (TTM)
2.70
P/FCF (TTM)
72.18
Rev YoY
+5.0%
EPS YoY
-44.6%
Gross Margin
+74.7%
Op Margin
-3.4%
Net Debt
$6.55B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology