B+
Bull case
22%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EL
Estee Lauder CompaniesBNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings print confirms a return to growth, strong fourth-quarter organic momentum, improved profitability, and a higher FY2027 margin framework. If Fragrance, Skin Care, China, travel retail, and channel expansion continue contributing, EL could move toward the low-$120s.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.8.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and detailed post-print consensus data were unavailable.
Momentum
89
Value
50
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $108.00 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-19 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $108.44
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +6.9
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +5.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and detailed post-print consensus data were unavailable.
- • China and regional growth may prove volatile amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.
- • The recovery remains execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-19
FY2026 earnings beat and FY2027 outlook support
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+38.5
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.8
Δ21d
+13.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 89.5 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 72.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
48%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-19
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-19
Market Cap
$30.51B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
361.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
167.9
P/S (TTM)
2.70
P/FCF (TTM)
72.18
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
-78.9%
Gross Margin
+75.5%
Op Margin
+11.2%
Net Debt
$5.75B
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data