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EGO

Eldorado GoldC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: sustained higher gold prices, successful permitting/expansions and consistent cost control drive re-rating toward the analyst high (~$48.77).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Geopolitical / jurisdictional risk
Momentum
98
Value
50
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $38.77 · Bull $48.77 · Bear $21.00Analysis 2026-01-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $43.04
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -0.0
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Geopolitical / jurisdictional risk
  • • Material decline in realized gold prices
  • • Bear: weaker gold prices, permitting/legal setbacks or cost overruns compress cash flow and push the stock toward the analyst low (~$21.00).

Catalyst clock

2026-04-19

Quarterly production & cost release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.5
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-11.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 97.8 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 47.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.77
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$38.77
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.53B
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
261.32M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
4.36
P/FCF (TTM)
141.90
Rev YoY
+7.9%
EPS YoY
+2.0%
Gross Margin
+47.9%
Op Margin
+44.7%
Net Debt
$420.3M
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data