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EGAN

eGainB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
eGain is showing credible AI transition evidence: AI customer revenue grew 20%, AI ARR reached 72% of total SaaS ARR, full-year operating cash flow reached $21.2 million, and Gartner category validation may support a higher strategic multiple [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.8.
What can break
Analyst coverage and target-revision evidence are limited; no broad post-print consensus revision set is available.
Momentum
14
Value
65
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.80 · Bull $7.25 · Bear $3.70Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-09-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.33
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d +3.7
Value65 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -6.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst coverage and target-revision evidence are limited; no broad post-print consensus revision set is available.
  • FY2027 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 1%-2% represents substantial compression from FY2026's 15% margin [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03].
  • The transition is not yet translating into near-term growth or margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-03

FY2026 earnings beat paired with a materially weaker FY2027 profitability outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+4.0
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+4.9
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.8
Δ21d
-9.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.2 / Value 65.1 / Sentiment 73.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-09-03
Market Cap
$198.46M
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
27.45M
P/E (TTM)
8.5
P/S (TTM)
3.16
P/FCF (TTM)
20.24
Rev YoY
+7.1%
EPS YoY
+3634.8%
Gross Margin
+72.2%
Op Margin
+11.0%
Net Debt
-$59.25M
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data