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EG

Everest GroupB
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 operating-income beat, 90.0% core combined ratio, book-value growth, and sizable repurchases support a constructive medium-term case. Post-print coverage included target increases from Barclays to $430 and Citi to $415.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Catastrophe losses and volatility in alternative investment returns may pressure quarterly earnings.
Momentum
68
Value
59
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $401.00 · Bull $430.00 · Bear $340.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $410.41
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -8.5
Value59 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Catastrophe losses and volatility in alternative investment returns may pressure quarterly earnings.
  • • Core gross written premium declined 7.1% year over year, with reinsurance treaty premium down 9.1%.
  • • Premium contraction, casualty reserve strengthening, catastrophe losses, and softening property pricing create a credible risk that current underwriting returns are not fully sustainable.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Q2 operating beat with strong core underwriting

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.5
Δ21d
-8.4
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-18.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 68.0 / Value 58.8 / Sentiment 54.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$401.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$340.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$15.28B
Beta
0.35
Shares Out
38.34M
P/E (TTM)
25.7
P/S (TTM)
0.81
P/FCF (TTM)
3.67
Rev YoY
-11.8%
EPS YoY
-11.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+14.2%
Net Debt
$2.47B
Current Ratio
0.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data