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EFC

Ellington FinancialC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 printed strong on net income, distributable earnings, and book value while management described active securitization markets and better long-term, non-mark-to-market financing; that supports the view that distributable earnings can keep covering the dividend if credit performance holds. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-05]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Book value volatility is still central to the equity story: reported BVPS was $13.56 and the stock is trading only slightly below that level.
Momentum
41
Value
59
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.90 · Bull $15.80 · Bear $11.40
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.79
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -9.0
Value59 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
41
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-12.6
Value
59
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
-1.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 40.5 / Value 58.7 / Sentiment 52.1

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$1.68B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
125.39M
P/E (TTM)
10.2
P/S (TTM)
3.13
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3.23
Rev YoY
+31.3%
EPS YoY
+129.4%
Gross Margin
+82.8%
Op Margin
-9.4%
Net Debt
$16.63B
Current Ratio
0.20
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology