EFC
Ellington FinancialANYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
Q1 printed strong on net income, distributable earnings, and book value while management described active securitization markets and better long-term, non-mark-to-market financing; that supports the view that distributable earnings can keep covering the dividend if credit performance holds. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.4.
What can break
Book value volatility is still central to the equity story: reported BVPS was $13.56 and the stock is trading only slightly below that level.
Momentum
74
Value
66
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.90 · Bull $15.80 · Bear $11.40
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.71
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d -4.4
Value66 · Δ7d +10.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
74
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-6.3
Value
66
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+9.7
Sentiment
53
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+8.2
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 73.9 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 52.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.68B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
107.32M
P/E (TTM)
10.2
P/S (TTM)
3.13
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.59
Rev YoY
+14.5%
EPS YoY
+56.3%
Gross Margin
+30.3%
Op Margin
-9.4%
Net Debt
$14.01B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

