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Excelerate EnergyC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful vessel deliveries and long‑term charters that materially expand contracted cashflows, plus favorable global LNG demand/pricing which pushes consensus toward the high end of published targets.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Contract renegotiation or vessel delivery delays
Momentum
49
Value
48
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $37.11 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-02-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.62
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +12.5
Value48 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Contract renegotiation or vessel delivery delays
  • Large analyst downgrades compressing multiple valuation models
  • Bear case assumes weaker spot LNG pricing, contract rolloffs or adverse contract renegotiations that drive consensus lower toward the published lows; short‑term guidance misses could precipitate re-rating.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-27

Analyst consensus re‑rating / target updates

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+10.5
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-6.8
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-5.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 49.1 / Value 47.6 / Sentiment 63.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$37.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.09B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
31.38M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
2.79
P/FCF (TTM)
16.03
Rev YoY
+61.0%
EPS YoY
+153.9%
Gross Margin
+28.8%
Op Margin
+22.0%
Net Debt
$889.43M
Current Ratio
1.80
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data