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ECG

Everus Construction GroupB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 organic revenue growth of 30%, expanding EBITDA and record backlog support a stronger earnings trajectory if project execution holds and Epsilon adds profitable capacity. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Epsilon integration may fall short of expected benefits while acquisition-related borrowing raises financing exposure. [#8-K-2026-09-08]
Momentum
38
Value
60
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $106.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $78.00Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $176.00
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -15.8
Value60 · Δ7d +2.1
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +14.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Epsilon integration may fall short of expected benefits while acquisition-related borrowing raises financing exposure. [#8-K-2026-09-08]
  • • Project delays, cost overruns or weaker execution could impair conversion of the $4.55 billion Q2 backlog into profitable revenue.
  • • The deterministic directional prior has turned negative despite strong reported results.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Third-quarter results and acquisition-adjusted outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.8
Δ21d
-7.6
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+4.2
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.4
Δ21d
-4.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 38.2 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 63.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$106.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.01B
Beta
-
Shares Out
51.06M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
24.8
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
20.07
Rev YoY
+33.7%
EPS YoY
+58.4%
Gross Margin
+12.9%
Op Margin
+7.8%
Net Debt
$201.59M
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data