B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ECG
Everus Construction GroupBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record growth, margin expansion, strong bookings, backlog growth, and two successive guidance increases support a constructive operating thesis. The announced Epsilon acquisition could broaden modular and prefabrication capabilities and geographic reach.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Epsilon acquisition closing and integration could pressure margins or management capacity.
Momentum
25
Value
55
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $135.00 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $176.00
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -6.4
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d -0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Epsilon acquisition closing and integration could pressure margins or management capacity.
- • Execution or project-timing slippage could delay conversion of the $4.55 billion backlog.
- • The raised outlook increases the execution bar.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Record Q2 results and higher 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.4
Δ21d
-5.3
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-7.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 24.5 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 78.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.32B
Beta
-
Shares Out
51.06M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
36.3
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
29.31
Rev YoY
+33.7%
EPS YoY
+58.4%
Gross Margin
+12.9%
Op Margin
+7.8%
Net Debt
$201.59M
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data